>March 18 Severe Weather Forecast Discussion


This is a forecast discussion concerning a potential severe weather event early next week.

We do have potential for a severe weather event, mainly across the Central Plains west into the Southern Great Lakes.
I’m sure you are wondering what the heck that image above means.
Well, that image is a picture of the 12z GFS Lapse Rates. A Lapse rate is the temperature change with height. The faster the temperature decreases with height, the more unstable the atmosphere is.
In the Central Plains, there does appear to be a good deal of instability as the temperature may be rapidly decreasing with height.
The Weather Centre feels this time is the appropriate time to issue a Severe Weather Event Image (SWEI). The SWEI is below.
The Weather Centre has outlined the Central Plains to southern portions of the US as the greatest potential for a severe weather event. The Southern Great Lakes and Midwest portions are also under a lower potential for a severe weather event. The image below represents the risk level for the Greatest Potential area on Monday.
This has been a forecast discussion from The Weather Centre.
This entry was posted in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )


Connecting to %s