>Midwest/ East Coast Storm Update 1/6/11 evening

>MIDWEST STORM MODEL OUTPUTS

(results compared to morning run.)

ECMWF- A tad farther south.
NOGAPS- Takes ECMWF track.
CMC- Keeping with morning track of going north.
DGEX- Similar CMC track.
UKMET- Early indications of ECMWF track.
GFS- ECMWF Track.
GFS Ensemble- 8/12 members showing north track, not CMC track.
WRF- Gulf Track, ECMWF.
Will take a combination of ECMWF/GFS Ensemble track. Will keep error room in case of change.
EAST COAST STORM MODEL OUTPUTS
ECMWF- Developed Nor ‘easter, offshore, not much effect.
NOGAPS- ECMWF track.
CMC- Developed Nor ‘easter, shore-hugger.
DGEX- Developed Nor ‘easter, ECMWF Track.
UKMET- Too far out in time frame.
GFS Ensemble- 6/12 members predicting NO EAST COAST STORM.
GFS- Out to sea.
Dismiss GFS solution. Will take ECMWF/CMC track.
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